Planned end date calculator for A/B tests

Find the date an A/B test should end from its baseline rate, minimum detectable effect, significance level, power, traffic split, and daily visitors, with a calendar showing the power reached on each day and the end date rounded up to whole weeks.

Method
Minimum detectable effect unit

Planned end date

Sunday, 7 February 2027

Power reaches 80% on Tuesday, 2 February 2027; the test should end on Sunday, 7 February 2027 so it covers whole weeks. Each variant needs 14,751 visitors, which takes 30 days of traffic at 1,000 visitors a day.

Power reached on each day

  • Below 50%
  • 50–79%
  • 80% and up
January 2027
MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
4 January, 8% power
5 January, 11% power
6 January, 14% power
7 January, 17% power
8 January, 21% power
9 January, 24% power
10 January, 27% power
11 January, 30% power
12 January, 34% power
13 January, 37% power
14 January, 40% power
15 January, 43% power
16 January, 46% power
17 January, 48% power
18 January, 51% power
19 January, 54% power
20 January, 56% power
21 January, 59% power
22 January, 61% power
23 January, 63% power
24 January, 65% power
25 January, 67% power
26 January, 69% power
27 January, 71% power
28 January, 73% power
29 January, 74% power
30 January, 76% power
31 January, 77% power
February 2027
MonTueWedThuFriSatSun
1 February, 79% power
2 February, 80% power
3 February, 81% power
4 February, 83% power
5 February, 84% power
6 February, 85% power
7 February, 86% power, planned end date

How the planned end date is calculated

The calculator first finds the visitors n that each variant needs, with the two-sided two-proportion z-test behind the sample size calculator, then divides n by the visitors a variant receives each day to count the days of traffic. Power is first reached on that day, and the planned end date is the Sunday that closes the Monday-to-Sunday week it falls in, so the result covers whole weeks.

days = ⌈n ÷ (daily visitors × share of traffic in each variant)⌉

Each day in the calendar shows the power of the visitors gathered through that day, which stays below the power you set until the sample is reached, and the test should be read once, at the planned end date, because stopping the first time it looks significant raises the false positive rate above the confidence level you chose.